Gartner also takes "pause " while saying about future of 3G in INDIA

Its once again new chapter of INCREDIBLE INDIA , worlds famous research firm Gartner also taking second look at their research reports "WILL IT BE BOOM OR SHEER FAILURE"
because

• India is too late for 3G ( because more than 100 countries have launched 3G worldwide and in many markets it is matured technology )
• Operators have ended up with paying more than reasonable price for spectrum for UMTS unlike 2G ,because of unique auction method adopted by govt.
• Their are more than 7 operators who have got 3G licences , which is also unique for India
• Government is making compulsion for backward compatibility with GSM (2G) for every 3G operators which is again making things difficult to operators ...
• Are operators ready with new revenue model for data service which will again boost ARPU to recover all this money ( 100000 crore only license fee +capex(infrastructure) + opex).?
• then most important thing is what Indian customer is gonna do with so called "wireless broadband service "are operators are ready with applications and content which is ultimately gonna pay revenue to operators
• Are operators ready to share their revenue with content providers which are gonna completely new industry ?
• AND MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION HOW INDIAN CUSTOMER is gonna accept this new service ,and what farmer in a village of 700 people is gonna do with 3G ?

History of CDMA in INDIA .and future path ...

CDMA(Code Division Mulitple Access) is an war tested technology developed in 1940s by US military for secure communications.
but later after long time in nineties by making fundamental changes in this technology , company called Qualcomm had filed patent in US for using it as wireless communications technology for society first as a WLL (Wireless Local Loop) and later as cellular technology.
It was later standardised by ANSI and 3GPP2 , its first standard published was IS 95(Interim Standard) in 1995 ,Which is also known as IS 41 standards .

So as a US developed technology it is mainly adopted in US and afterwards Japan and some Asian countries like China , Korea with their own local modifications.

However ,In India we can say this technology came as it is in US ,and this came as a WLL (Wireless Local Loop) technology to give basic telecom services economically in Indian market which was aim of NTP 99 ( National Telecom Policy 1999) by government . However with technlogical advancement and some manipulating practices by private operators in India it was became cellular ,in 2003 with order from Indian court in one of the famous case of GSM vs CDMA operators in ,CDMA as declared as a cellular technology like GSM in India .

now in India is a having close to 150 million subscriber base for CDMA , though it is less comapred to GSM ,but it significant .

CDMA , has been mainly provided in Indian operators like BSNL ,Rcom , TTSL, MTS, Shyam Telecom .

CDMA in India has been evloved from

WLL -- Cellular technology (voice ) --- CDMA 2000 ( voice + data ) ---- Advanced CDMA + EVDO (data optimised ) Rev A, and now B ( 6.2 Mbps )

Now ,with aggressive push by Qaulcomm in chipset design their is variety of handsets and datacards are available in market , so operators are pushing it as wireless broadband technology with efficient use of spectrum , operators like Rcom and TTSL are betting big on advanced CDMA for increased voice capacity and data speed with efficient use of available spectrum , so in India CDMA will play good migration path towards LTE .

CDMA vs GSM Evolution in INDIAN market

In Indian Telecom market ,CDMA has got less attention or acceptance on operators and customers front because of its initial stage it had some inconvenience to layman , and GSM came bit early in world market .
However ,in CDMA has its own advantages on technological fronts ,and economical fronts as well for operators ,
this has been visible recent times
because

1) CDMA with latest standards is equally marketable and convenient to layman user like , changing RUIM card and handset , uses of Internet (data), flash SMSs ,USSD .

2) Big Operators who have GSM technology in India are already facing network congestion because of GSMs air inter face limitations that is using TDMA +FDM ,has limited the capacity
at air interface,resulted into, dissatisfaction in customers .

3) To avoid this operators started using more and more carrier frequencies to accommodate more users in crowded areas ,this has came under the scanner of DOT and now these operators have
to pay huge sum of money as a fee for extra uses., despite CDMA operators are at advantage because of inherent advantages of CDMA at air interface ,it can have soft capacity so number of users can be accommodated are more .

4) in data uses on mobile front also

CDMA have come up 1x data ,service which is comparable to GPRS
service in GSM.

despite alll this operators are More favourable to GSM than CDMA why ..............?

3G launch .... in India

As things are unfolding after paying hefty license fees for licence of 3G spectrum,
biggies in market are preparing for launching 3G for early advantage,same time there is bit of murmur about consolidations of small operators after testing water of Indian Market.
Last week RCOM unveiled its first demo trial of mobile TV with 3G .
So now Vodafone and Airtel may be trying hard to launch 3G services ,
But , as operators are excited about 3G
which according to many going to bring
second revolution in Indian Market after 2G evolution
for operators and customer and other stakeholders of the society .

However , to happen all this operators have to be bit more concerned about their technical business model for 3G because this is gonna drastically different than conventional creating "Minute factory " after investing in millions on creating infrastructure ,without sharing much of revenue with content provider or VAS providers.

here operators have to be more open
for
-new revenue models
-new business ideas
-sharing revenues with others
-moving towards ISP role from only TSP
and most importantly
-focusing on new and innovating applications and VAS development which will give then competitive edge in market